Behind The Cold Front
Sunday, August 23, 2026 · 12:21 AM
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Slightly below normal temperatures with dry conditions expected through Monday. Low to medium rain and storm chances will return Tuesday through the end of the week with seasonable temperatures in the low-nineties. Front cleared Middle Tennessee! Drier air filter in! Patchy fog on the Plateau! Diminish after sunrise! Upper-level troffing holds! Eastern Continental United States locked! Highs in mid-eighties! Calm night commands! Cooling temperatures! Silent surface lands! COLD FRONT HAS PASSED! DRIED AIR IN PLACE! STORM CHANCES WAIT! BEHIND THE COLD FRONT! Monday stays the same! Eighties hold the line! Dry conditions rule! Northwest flow in time! Shortwaves waiting west! Ridging sets the trap! Low-nineties return! Tuesday brings the rain! Moisture build-up starts! Troffing shifts away! COLD FRONT HAS PASSED! DRIED AIR IN PLACE! STORM CHANCES WAIT! BEHIND THE COLD FRONT! Dry through Monday! Quiet skies! Behind the cold front!
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1218 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026
- Slightly below normal temperatures with dry conditions expected through Monday.
- Low to medium rain and storm chances will return Tuesday through the end of the week with seasonable temperatures in the low-90s.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday Night) Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026
A cold front has worked its way through Middle TN, and drier air is filtering in behind the front.
Calm conditions are expected tonight with just patchy fog to keep an eye on. Confidence in fog is once again highest across the Plateau with any fog that does develop diminishing after sunrise.
Upper-level troughing remains in place across the eastern CONUS, and in the wake of the front, temperatures on Sunday will cool a few degrees with high temperatures in the mid to upper-80s with dry conditions.
Monday will be similar with highs still in the 80s and dry conditions prevailing.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1026 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026
By Tuesday, the aforementioned trough shifts to the east and ridging sets up to the west.
For Middle TN, this means northwest flow will persist through the end of the week, opening the door for a few shortwaves to move through the area.
These shortwaves and an increase in moisture allows for daily low to medium rain chances to return to the forecast Tuesday through the end of the week.
Temperatures will also warm a few degrees, but high temperatures in the low-90s will still be seasonably normal.