Between Two Ridges
Thursday, August 6, 2026 · 5:38 AM
Lyrics
Issued at 1033 PM CDT... East of I-65, the outflows pushed westward... Lawrence County saw healthy rainfall bullseyes... Localized flooding in the town of Lawrenceburg... Warm and muggy overnight... Patchy dense fog for those who saw the rain... We finally lose the weak upper trough that plagued us for days, But there is no relief in the upper air. We are trapped in the middle of two high ridges, Locked in general troughiness and suffocating despair. Diurnally driven afternoon storms waiting to fire, No reason for organization, just heat and weight. Heavy rain and sub-severe gusty winds, An inescapable, stagnant summertime fate. As Friday rolls around... I don't see any reason things are going to change... It is like spinning a wheel on whether you see rain... Spinning a wheel... Spinning a wheel... Stagnant pattern, trapped in the humidity! Caught between two ridges in perpetual hostility! Every afternoon the sky breaks down! Bullseyes washing out this muggy town! LOW 90S WEST! MID 80S EAST! LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LAWRENCEBURG! SPINNING THE WHEEL! SPINNING THE WHEEL! THE PATTERN REMAINS STAGNANT! A very typical summertime pattern... Radar has quieted down... Sub-severe... Patchy dense fog... Until tomorrow...
The forecast discussion
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 535 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
- Scattered afternoon showers and storms each day.
Medium (30-50%) chances east of I-65 with low (10-20%) chances west of I-65.
- No severe weather is expected, but a few storms may produce gusty winds (up to 40 mph) and heavy downpours.
- Heat Index values in the upper 90 to low 100s each afternoon.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Thursday Night) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Well, on the whole, it was a relatively benign day.
However, once we started to get thunderstorms rolling this afternoon east of I-65 and outflows began pushing westward, I think there ended up being a little more coverage than originally thought -- to the point of Lawrence county seeing a couple of healthy rainfall bullseyes which led to some localized flooding in the town of Lawrenceburg.
Since then, the radar has quieted down and this should continue to be the case until tomorrow afternoon when additional storms are expected.
Until then, look for warm and muggy conditions overnight with patchy dense fog for those who saw rain this afternoon.
Today's activity revolved around a weak upper trough that has plagued the region for the last couple of days.
The good news is that we should finally lose the influence of that trough tomorrow.
The less-good news is we'll be in the middle of two ridges tomorrow with what looks to be general troughiness across the region still.
That means more diurnally driven thunderstorms Thursday afternoon, though coverage shouldn't be as widespread.
As far as any severe threats, without any reason for organization, heavy rain and sub- severe gusty winds should again be the main concern for any outdoor interests.
LONG TERM
(Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
As Friday rolls around and we get into the weekend, I don't see any reason things are going to change much.
The pattern remains fairly stagnant.
Afternoon to early evening storms each afternoon with afternoon highs reaching the low 90s west to mid 80s east - a very typical summertime pattern.
As far as coverage each day, it'll be like spinning a wheel on whether you see rain, but if you do, just like any other summertime day, heavy rain and gusty winds can't be ruled out.